Amazing-Rations
0xd4cc7082df088fb236ab67b96ea10ae36b3159f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$77.45
Total PnL
$38.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
55 shares @ 25.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$54.62
$40.62
- NO
Xi Jinping out before October?
12 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$11.76
$0.12
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$7.04
$0.04
- NO
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?
4 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$4.04
$0.04
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$11.64Sep 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?$4.00Sep 13, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana reach 250 September 1–7?$6.07Sep 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$2.00Sep 5, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana reach 250 September 1–7?$6.00Sep 5, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?$14.00Sep 5, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?$8.02Sep 5, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$7.00May 1, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?$3.01May 1, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMFDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?$4.09May 1, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$4.13May 1, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?$8.00May 1, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?$4.00Apr 2, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$4.00Apr 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?$3.00Apr 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Panthers make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$3.18Apr 2, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?$4.95Apr 2, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $145 on March 14?$2.07Apr 2, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMDid Kanye sell his twitter account?$4.01Apr 2, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine take responsibility for X attack by Friday?$6.01Apr 2, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $65.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 13, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.