Earnest-Soprano
0xd4d049eb984b482e527a44bb3c86866032bba0e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$7.04
Total PnL
$-28.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 7?$1.01Jan 15, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 7?$1.00Jan 6, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.01Jan 4, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 4, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oklahoma win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.01Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?$1.01Dec 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 05:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.