Whopping-Chalice
0xd4d166d85d65655ce0cb563a6d1edc804bbc1733
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$109.40
Total PnL
$-164.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 2?
459 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.52
$0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 2?
256 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 2?
649 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.27
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 2?
673 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.02
$-1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on May 2?
684 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 3?
335 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 2?
656 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.64
$0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 2?
262 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 3?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 3?
413 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.44
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 3?$1.057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on May 2?$0.428m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 3?$1.0511m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 3?$1.0523m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 49m ago
- Last active
- 7m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".