Capital-Innovation
0xd4d66e8d1b218a1ec15f2b217292ce87fe3b0221
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$39.17
Total PnL
$-206.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
71 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.17
$3.18
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
149 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-96.91
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?
122 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-71.93
- YES
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?
118 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "IQ" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Samuel A. Alito attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
20 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.