Ill-Informed-Decimal
0xd4d7427dc11d84a83ae640592b1fd34c9e04017c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-232.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 20?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 13?
276 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.26
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.90 November 3-9?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.35
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $2.00 on November 18?
273 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12PM ET
273 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.32
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on November 18?
272 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on December 1?
268 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?
248 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 22?
245 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or below on November 8?
234 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?$122.83Jun 5, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?$3.15Jun 4, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$2.88May 31, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$46.10May 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$38.09May 30, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$6.12May 30, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?$1.34May 25, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$37.49May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$36.14May 21, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$6.27May 13, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?$51.24May 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?$0.10May 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?$48.89May 11, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$1.73May 9, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 8?$1.49May 7, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 6?$48.40Apr 30, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on November 26?$0.00Apr 20, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 19?$2.35Apr 19, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 9?$0.00Apr 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 6?$46.60Apr 6, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.