Failing-Protest
0xd4deaab5ef0e895c7c463bbeb86a160ceaa8f06d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$14.40
Total PnL
$-43.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$7.69
$6.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
4 shares @ 28.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$3.53
$2.53
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
249 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.22Feb 3, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.38Feb 3, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.16Feb 2, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$1.00Feb 2, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$1.00Feb 2, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with a poison or toxin?$1.24Feb 2, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.07Feb 2, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.