Demanding-Representative
0xd4e51d6a5c2a158cf4b2ac7b504ab9778f94c096
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$35.99
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
36 shares @ 83.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$35.99
$5.99
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
1285 shares @ 86.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
178 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$30.00Apr 20, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$6.99Apr 20, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$10.00Apr 18, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.00Mar 16, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$52.47Mar 14, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$0.52Mar 13, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$48.26Mar 13, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.00Mar 13, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.00Dec 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$42.16Dec 30, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$20.00Dec 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$20.00Dec 30, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$1.1KDec 20, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLKinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?$591.27Nov 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?$549.61Nov 28, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $147.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.