Defensive-Fraud
0xd4f41186fb3a5c9b22c5509468eb26a5013ffdc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$61.36
Total PnL
$-125.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$36.36
$16.36
- NO
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$15.00
- YES
Will The White Lotus be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Severance be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out in 2025?
142 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out in 2025?
141 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out in 2025?
140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out in 2025?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Trump" during the FED board meeting on October 24?
79 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Inflation" during the FED board meeting on October 24?$55.79Oct 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trump" during the FED board meeting on October 24?$10.00Oct 24, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Trump" during the FED board meeting on October 24?$20.00Oct 24, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Inflation" during the FED board meeting on October 24?$20.00Oct 24, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Inflation" during the FED board meeting on October 24?$20.00Oct 24, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?$1.72Oct 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?$3.50Oct 23, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?$2.19Oct 23, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?$3.50Oct 23, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?$3.10Oct 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$7.88Oct 23, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?$1.04Oct 23, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?$10.00Oct 23, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?$4.90Oct 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$17.30Oct 23, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$1.00Oct 23, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$1.00Oct 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$20.00Oct 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Severance be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$10.00Oct 23, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The White Lotus be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$10.00Oct 23, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 02:33 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.