Marvelous-Ephemera
0xd503092a934d4ac206f4507b07e7eb524e10023a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$221.20
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
481 shares @ 75.3¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.21
$-153.12
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 66.4¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.98
$0.48
- MICHIGAN
Ohio State vs. Michigan
1668 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-364.00
- RUTGERS
Penn State vs. Rutgers
684 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-297.60
- MICHIGAN
Spread: Ohio State (-11.5)
571 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-281.00
- ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Duke Blue Devils
185 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-66.30
- MICHIGAN
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)
116 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- APPALACHIAN STATE
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State
86 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- LIONS
Lions vs. Vikings
84 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMaryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State$9.52Feb 3, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Vikings$36.00Dec 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$36.59Dec 22, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?$2.50Dec 3, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$400.00Dec 3, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$21.00Dec 3, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAlabama vs. Auburn$73.84Nov 30, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLAlabama vs. Auburn$56.80Nov 30, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlabama vs. Auburn$47.00Nov 30, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlabama vs. Auburn$22.80Nov 30, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAlabama vs. Auburn$47.68Nov 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlabama vs. Auburn$21.00Nov 30, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlabama vs. Auburn$100.00Nov 30, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlabama vs. Auburn$100.00Nov 30, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLCeltics vs. Timberwolves$236.34Nov 30, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Timberwolves$217.00Nov 30, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenn State vs. Rutgers$136.60Nov 29, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenn State vs. Rutgers$101.00Nov 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenn State vs. Rutgers$21.00Nov 29, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenn State vs. Rutgers$21.00Nov 29, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $100.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".