Mushy-Keeper
0xd514a67d01462b36d3b4da850587584a5fc9bbdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-484.75
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
33%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
397 shares @ 90.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$391.42
$31.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
250 shares @ 76.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$248.88
$57.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
169 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$168.61
$12.87
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?
71 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$71.12
$4.93
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
41 shares @ 73.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$40.75
$10.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?
67 shares @ 55.3¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$37.67
$0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 27?
87 shares @ 48.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$34.42
$-8.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?
50 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$28.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 27?
50 shares @ 52.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$24.25
$-1.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 27?
65 shares @ 58.3¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$24.23
$-13.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?$2.47Jun 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 27?$26.00Jun 27, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 27?$14.49Jun 27, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 27?$26.50Jun 27, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 27?$14.84Jun 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?$1.99Jun 27, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?$2.36Jun 27, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 27?$45.90Jun 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?$0.39Jun 27, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?$6.18Jun 27, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 27?$37.50Jun 27, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 27?$2.65Jun 27, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?$8.71Jun 27, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?$9.05Jun 27, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?$2.40Jun 27, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?$4.78Jun 27, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?$4.87Jun 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?$12.20Jun 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 27?$1.00Jun 27, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?$2.83Jun 27, 05:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
48 closed markets, 33% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.