Substantial-Equation
0xd51abbbc7c8b01a9bd53fddde5722a429b0ddcac
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.35
Realised
$1.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
43 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?
21 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.66
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$25.74Jun 16, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jun 16, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.34Jun 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$32.26Jun 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$25.44Jun 16, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?$4.02Jun 8, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?$1.13Jun 8, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$15.80Jun 8, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?$10.15Jun 8, 08:16 UTC
- SPLITWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?$29.00Jun 8, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$26.88Jun 8, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.96Jun 7, 19:57 UTC
- SPLITUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$28.00Jun 7, 15:53 UTC
- SPLITSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$20.00Jun 7, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$20.62Oct 11, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$20.83Oct 11, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$20.00Oct 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$20.00Oct 10, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$20.68Oct 9, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$20.72Oct 9, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $18.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.