Our-Saloon
0xd5206424476bb3e55d550967bb376c9a61f2c46f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-391.15
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
4060 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.58
- NO
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30?
698 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-27.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
200 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
106 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-16.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 12PM ET
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$3.99Jan 4, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10AM ET$3.98Jan 4, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10AM ET$2.39Jan 4, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8AM ET$0.00Jan 4, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8AM ET$2.40Jan 4, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8AM ET$2.06Jan 4, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.06Jan 4, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.81Jan 4, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Jan 4, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?$0.23Jan 2, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?$0.26Jan 2, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?$0.51Jan 2, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8AM ET$3.38Jan 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.10Jan 2, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2AM ET$5.48Jan 2, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2AM ET$4.00Jan 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jan 1, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.25Jan 1, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4PM ET$6.75Jan 1, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".