Generous-Cargo
0xd5223f6a993537ac8ee6e71881993aa76c0de22c
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$75.95
Total PnL
$-233.66
Realised
$-9.61
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$62.50
$52.50
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
35 shares @ 14.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.85
$3.85
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.06
$-2.94
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.05
$-3.95
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.95
$-4.05
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.39
$-4.61
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- KARMINE CORP BLUE
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
5691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- YES
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
1364 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
1006 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$4.01Jul 1, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$5.14Jul 1, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$4.99Jul 1, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.03Jul 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?$10.28Jul 1, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$1.03Jul 1, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jul 1, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.