Envious-Estate
0xd52ba67ebc5fa3457629d567411af5da3c69783c
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$56.19
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$45.27
Win rate
77%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
45 shares @ 67.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.53
$6.13
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
230 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.66
$-0.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1200 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-51.39
- PURDUE BOILERMAKERS
Indiana vs. Purdue Boilermakers
796 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 11PM ET
760 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-23.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
722 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 6PM ET
638 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-79.99
- SOUTH FLORIDA
Old Dominion vs. South Florida
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 29?
540 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-18.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
530 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$4.20May 17, 02:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$2.06May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$5.03May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$5.04May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$5.06May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$19.57May 16, 03:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$10.25May 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$10.05May 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$2.04May 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-15?$2.06May 15, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5$3.57May 15, 19:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMCordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon$2.86May 14, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?$3.13May 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$4.06May 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5$2.03May 14, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon$2.02May 14, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?$1.02May 14, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".