Nippy-Scientist
0xd52ef9808d4860ca44c9a3ff6111f3366f0f665f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
912 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Kerala Congress (M) (KEC(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
893 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6800–6900 on April 8?
669 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6600–6700 on April 8?
406 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 10?
218 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get less than 2m views in the first week?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.25 and 2,5 million views in the first week?$0.00Apr 9, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 10?$1.52Apr 9, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Apr 9, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 9, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 9, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 9, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kerala Congress (M) (KEC(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 9, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 9, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend UFC 327?$1.00Apr 9, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 (SPX) open at <6600 on April 8?$1.00Apr 9, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6600–6700 on April 8?$1.00Apr 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6800–6900 on April 8?$1.00Apr 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.25 and 2,5 million views in the first week?$1.00Apr 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get less than 2m views in the first week?$1.00Apr 9, 01:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 23:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.