Realistic-Particle
0xd53b2cd1f1b681de5160f43d02a6df508906fc94
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$190.51
Total PnL
$-54.72
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
117 shares @ 88.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.12
$-6.77
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
40 shares @ 85.6¢·now 87.4¢·exp May 4, 2026$34.96
$0.72
- NO
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$32.50
$-2.50
- NO
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.91
$1.41
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?
12 shares @ 33.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.85
$1.91
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
300 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.10
$0.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.66
$0.31
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
259 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$2.72
$1.68
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 1, 2026?
92 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.93
$-7.26
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 1, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.30
$-4.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.0928m ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.0228m ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.2633m ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.1234m ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.2234m ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.0234m ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.231h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$5.102h ago
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$1.214h ago
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$13.696h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?$35.006h ago
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$0.877h ago
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$5.577h ago
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$1.787h ago
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$1.787h ago
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5$16.937h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$0.047h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $8.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 28m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".