Tricky-Conspiracy
0xd53f5158bbec06c229c6a284f6739a7303c3e061
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.60
Total PnL
$-5.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.60
$-0.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will "Mother Mary" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.20Jun 5, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.26May 21, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 21?$0.63May 20, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 21?$0.11May 20, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 21?$0.03May 20, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 21?$0.25May 20, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mother Mary" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$1.05May 19, 13:59 UTC
- REWARD$1.12May 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$1.28May 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$26.00May 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$11.73May 18, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$0.16May 18, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$4.08May 18, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$0.31May 18, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$8.17May 18, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$28.00May 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$15.61May 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$28.40May 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.48May 18, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.65May 18, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.