Multicolored-Surname
0xd55bf9bf2c04d0c782b936da1ef76d36969b98f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-280.72
Realised
$-2.81
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 10, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 24, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 25, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 26, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-7.14
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 18, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCity Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.42Jun 20, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCity Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?$7.29Jun 20, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLCity Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.30Jun 20, 13:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.76Jun 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$14.41Jun 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?$0.35Jun 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$0.87Jun 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$33.81Jun 15, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$7.87Jun 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$44.50Jun 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$55.22Jun 15, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$6.43Jun 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$0.00Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$17.23Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$44.50Jun 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$3.96Jun 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$4.72Jun 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$0.24Jun 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$0.28Jun 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$0.26Jun 15, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.