Regular-Profile
0xd5628a6d9ba869c45875a8669224acd57d76181f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$2.59
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
211 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-115.82
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
209 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-125.48
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
197 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-115.19
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
194 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-105.63
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
188 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-96.52
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
185 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-98.02
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
178 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
174 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-83.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
167 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-79.73
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
163 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-86.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$4.92Jun 13, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$4.93Jun 13, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$9.13Jun 13, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$4.93Jun 13, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$4.93Jun 13, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$4.92Jun 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$4.92Jun 13, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$8.48Jun 13, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$4.92Jun 13, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$4.91Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$4.92Jun 13, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$4.92Jun 13, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$8.33Jun 13, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$4.91Jun 13, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$4.92Jun 13, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$8.48Jun 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$4.97Jun 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$4.91Jun 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$4.92Jun 13, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$8.80Jun 13, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.