Polite-Cummerbund
0xd564261b7198a1b3ede20fa1c29b746aed522c17
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$51.94
Total PnL
$-10.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9?
27 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$27.37
$1.37
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
13 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$13.20
$0.20
- UNDER
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5
11 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$11.38
$0.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?
17 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$13.01Jun 9, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 9?$26.09Jun 9, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$6.17Jun 9, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 26?$16.13Jun 9, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$25.41Jun 9, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5$11.01Jun 9, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$6.01May 26, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$25.03May 26, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 26?$15.07May 26, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$28.41May 26, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMComo 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5$60.11May 26, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYComo 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5$60.00May 17, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$25.21May 17, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 13?$12.79May 17, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 14?$40.00May 17, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 14?$39.05May 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 13?$12.24May 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 13?$11.11May 13, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6.49May 13, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$10.53May 13, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $23.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.