Expert-Liquid
0xd5642f8828deb775136b0c39228bfe13d32558d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-26.17
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 30?
783 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-134.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 30?
574 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 1?
391 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?
374 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-121.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?
300 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?
260 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-79.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?
217 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-94.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 3?
200 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 3?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 15?
180 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-86.33
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$2.87Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$0.91Jul 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$4.76Jul 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$4.39Jul 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$2.23Jul 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$6.44Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$23.15Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 2?$0.95Jul 2, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 3?$58.02Jul 2, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$0.78Jul 2, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$1.62Jul 2, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$5.00Jul 2, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$1.75Jul 2, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$0.79Jul 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$1.50Jul 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$1.88Jul 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$1.75Jul 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$8.90Jul 2, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$13.77Jul 2, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 3?$74.30Jul 2, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.