Forsaken-Water
0xd56588cf17fecaa94d1837923cd746e86b37e5f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$5.83
Total PnL
$-113.47
Realised
$27.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$5.83
$4.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
League of Legends Worlds Parlay
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un meet with Sanae Takaichi by December 31?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$300.01Dec 3, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$18.55Dec 1, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$117.89Dec 1, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$38.19Dec 1, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$329.13Dec 1, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$67.61Dec 1, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$168.95Nov 23, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.75Nov 22, 03:50 UTC
- MERGEFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$210.00Nov 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Jong Un meet with Sanae Takaichi by December 31?$5.21Nov 20, 06:00 UTC
- SPLITFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$210.00Nov 19, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Bucks$2.40Nov 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Hornets$1.10Nov 15, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$2.60Nov 15, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Pacers$1.45Nov 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Cavaliers$1.00Nov 15, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Jong Un meet with Sanae Takaichi by December 31?$0.29Nov 14, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Nigeria by November 30?$0.06Nov 12, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Nigeria by November 30?$0.41Nov 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.80Nov 11, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $52.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".