Plush-Saucer
0xd57dd5b456f87a0067969f8a58e7b1c24919f5a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-875.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or higher on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C or below on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 28?
585 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$34.48Jun 6, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$49.25Jun 6, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$9.85Jun 6, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$93.48Jun 6, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 9?$41.25Apr 9, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on March 28?$585.00Apr 8, 05:49 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Beijing on March 28?$585.00Mar 27, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 28?$583.25Mar 27, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 18?$588.53Mar 19, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 18?$205.99Mar 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$100.00Mar 17, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$12.89Mar 17, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$10.00Mar 17, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$8.79Mar 17, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$9.47Mar 17, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$10.00Mar 17, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$124.95Mar 17, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $121.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 06:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.