Ready-Someplace
0xd5817f224f4f03b4184141b42f3b5a35344abd3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$41.15
Win rate
76%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
6030 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 7?
3550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.55
- YES
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 80 and 90 seconds?
3283 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
2600 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2565 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-77.01
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
2110 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.33
- YES
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?
2071 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7?$1.00Aug 3, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$2.51Aug 3, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$5.34Jul 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.03Jul 29, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.46Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.03Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.03Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.03Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.03Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.03Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.03Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.03Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.15Jul 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 21?$0.01Jul 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 21?$0.02Jul 15, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
54 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.