Thrifty-Length
0xd581b37641feebd91a036135d920d5060aae3c55
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.09
Realised
$1.01
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
200 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
46 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-16.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
30 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
21 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
20 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
16 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
16 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
15 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.