Warm-Hydrant
0xd58c0271c8cfa8bee1da6893bd6e762a75724b83
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.13
Total PnL
$-49.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
4 shares @ 75.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.59
$0.87
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.78
$1.78
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.76
$-1.24
- NO
OpenAI browser in 2025?
44 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
"Pokemon Legends: Z-A" Metascore 90+
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Fed rate cut in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$17.50Sep 18, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$1.59Sep 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1 Dutch GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc $5.00Aug 31, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$1.00Aug 31, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$1.00Aug 31, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?$1.00Aug 31, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$3.00Aug 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo launch a token by December 31?$1.00Aug 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$5.00Aug 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Pokemon Legends: Z-A" Metascore 80–89$2.00Aug 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.72Aug 28, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 27?$1.43Aug 27, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Pokemon Legends: Z-A" Metascore 90+$4.00Aug 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$5.00Aug 26, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$5.00Aug 26, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Aug 26, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$1.00Aug 26, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 27?$1.00Aug 26, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Aug 26, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?$1.00Aug 26, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 26, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".