Silent-Tadpole
0xd592d983c680b13d76d3bb8c5c795f87caceb698
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.47
Total PnL
$-68.08
Realised
$9.57
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Epic Games have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
235 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- NO
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
10500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
- SHARKS
Sharks vs. Senators
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?
798 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
797 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- NO
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
685 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.21Jun 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$2.10May 25, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.49May 25, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$0.95May 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$0.57May 22, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$1.21May 20, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epic Games have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04May 20, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$1.04May 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$1.04May 19, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May?$1.04May 19, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.21May 19, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?$1.04May 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$12.33May 11, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 13, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 13, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump cut off trade with Spain?$0.00Apr 13, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in March 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.00Apr 13, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google reach $375 in March?$0.00Apr 13, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.