Grandiose-Tavern
0xd59f0a23ea2df41cfe61dadc1fb59507f333cb5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump visit Turkey before June?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?
32 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be out as Federal Reserve Chair in Trump's first 100 days?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$11.24Jan 7, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$10.00Nov 28, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$1.00Oct 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by December 31?$1.00Oct 11, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by November 10?$1.00Oct 11, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?$1.00May 26, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Turkey before June?$1.00May 26, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.00May 26, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Made in America" 2+ times during tariff event on April 2?$0.00Apr 12, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce tariffs on Germany on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?$5.26Apr 3, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Made in America" 2+ times during tariff event on April 2?$2.00Apr 2, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce tariffs on Germany on April 2?$3.00Apr 2, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Trump x Putin talk in March?$0.00Apr 2, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "bigly" by March 28?$0.00Apr 2, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnergy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? $1.00Mar 26, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "bigly" by March 28?$1.00Mar 26, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEast African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?$1.00Mar 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?$1.00Mar 20, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".