Occasional-Plaster
0xd5a69edf76c4dbb941897b9db3d181c722906189
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-594.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
29425 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-29.98
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
25000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
18266 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will SDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
10514 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will JCP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
10514 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will JIP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
9271 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Jul 14, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$10.00Jul 14, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JIP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JCP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DIY hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reiwa Shinsengumi hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$30.00Jul 14, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$30.00Jul 14, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$30.00Jul 14, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 14, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$50.00Jul 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$100.00Jul 14, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea beat PSG?$899.40Jul 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea beat PSG?$179.88Jul 13, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $38.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".