Prize-Shadow
0xd5ba9ff3e34b5283984f7f287244d8489db0b00d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "China Virus" or "Wuhan Lab" in March?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 29?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLClavicular arrested again by April 30?$0.33Apr 2, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 2, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?$34.48Apr 2, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China Virus" or "Wuhan Lab" in March?$1.00Mar 31, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular arrested again by April 30?$1.00Mar 31, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Mar 31, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?$1.00Mar 31, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?$0.92Mar 31, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?$2.00Mar 31, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?$1.15Mar 31, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.95Mar 31, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$0.05Mar 31, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$0.07Mar 31, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$1.00Mar 29, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 29, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?$1.00Mar 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 29?$1.00Mar 29, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?$1.00Mar 29, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Mar 29, 03:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $0.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.