0xd5bab2c5c4db2194a248722b592888511b64258c
0xd5bab2c5c4db2194a248722b592888511b64258c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$22.37
Total PnL
$-37.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
12 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.97
$-0.12
- NO
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
9 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.65
$-0.51
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
7 shares @ 75.9¢·now 71.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.05
$-0.33
- YES
Exact Score: Olympic Dcheira 0 - 3 OC Safi?
13 shares @ 79.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.70
$-9.48
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SWEDEN
Spread: France (-1.5)
13 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.16
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
13 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.16
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
12 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$11.12Jul 1, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$0.01Jun 30, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-2.5)$0.00Jun 30, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$0.00Jun 30, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$0.01Jun 30, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-30?$0.00Jun 30, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMFrance to score first vs. Sweden?$0.00Jun 30, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$11.33Jun 30, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$11.37Jun 30, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-2.5)$9.36Jun 30, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$9.31Jun 30, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-30?$1.40Jun 30, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$3.55Jun 30, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-30?$8.90Jun 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$8.93Jun 30, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance to score first vs. Sweden?$11.06Jun 30, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?$5.13Jun 30, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?$5.13Jun 30, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$9.32Jun 30, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance to score first vs. Sweden?$9.55Jun 30, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 22:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.