Noteworthy-Depth
0xd5c1d2f52eb8c7dcd128d1dfa7f12926b1fa5280
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$27.5K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-2.9K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
19216 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$19.2K
$136.59
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
10499 shares @ 57.1¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.7K
$-330.30
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1021 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$977.93
$37.41
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
794 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$792.28
$4.26
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
203 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.7¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$175.90
$74.40
- NO
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
615 shares @ 33.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$156.81
$-47.88
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
1010 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.4¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$134.84
$-370.17
- YES
Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?
1205 shares @ 4.7¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$96.40
$40.26
- NO
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
75 shares @ 61.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$61.12
$15.37
- NO
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
130 shares @ 15.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.72
$37.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMOver $18M committed to the Credible public sale?$354.43Jul 14, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMOver $16M committed to the Credible public sale?$333.33Jul 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Credible public sale?$291.25Jul 13, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Credible public sale?$7.99Jul 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.75Jul 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Credible public sale?$3.59Jul 13, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMOver $6M committed to the Credible public sale?$7.5KJul 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Credible public sale?$299.45Jul 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $90M committed to the Credible public sale?$10.67Jul 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $50M committed to the Credible public sale?$20.98Jul 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $50M committed to the Credible public sale?$30.17Jul 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$320.00Jul 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Credible public sale?$15.83Jul 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Credible public sale?$17.22Jul 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Credible public sale?$32.00Jul 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $70M committed to the Credible public sale?$10.63Jul 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $50M committed to the Credible public sale?$42.13Jul 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Credible public sale?$10.67Jul 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Credible public sale?$52.97Jul 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$195.66Jul 13, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
52%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
$10.0K · 52% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.