Animated-Overcoat
0xd5cbc6134337c857b82be77479c7b61803434ec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$103.86
Total PnL
$-30.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?
104 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$103.86
$-0.26
- YES
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?
29 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?
19 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?$104.13Jun 22, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$104.12Jun 22, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$104.03May 28, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA dip to $120 in April?$104.06May 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $120 in April?$103.96Apr 22, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $900 in March?$103.96Apr 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $900 in March?$103.54Mar 25, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February?$29.59Mar 25, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?$29.99Mar 25, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix reach $228 in February?$44.20Mar 25, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $228 in February?$44.16Feb 22, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February?$29.43Feb 22, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?$29.81Feb 22, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $880 in January?$8.98Feb 22, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of January?$10.50Feb 22, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January?$12.00Feb 22, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?$12.39Feb 22, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of January?$14.19Feb 22, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA dip to $156 in January?$14.49Feb 22, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$16.92Feb 22, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $31.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.