Cavernous-Methodology
0xd5d018f3161146743e30d42d556f22fc7a928feb
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$148.14
Total PnL
$1.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
50 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.99
$0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 30?
44 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$44.08
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 21?
43 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$43.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 30?$44.00May 29, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 21?$43.00Apr 19, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on April 2?$39.04Apr 2, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.20 in March?$5.03Apr 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on April 2?$39.00Apr 1, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 27?$44.04Mar 26, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 27?$44.00Mar 26, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 25?$34.07Mar 25, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 25?$34.00Mar 23, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 18?$43.09Mar 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 18?$43.00Mar 16, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 14?$24.10Mar 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 14?$24.00Mar 14, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$49.00Mar 11, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.20 in March?$5.00Mar 8, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on March 7?$11.01Mar 7, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $120?$15.03Mar 7, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $120?$15.00Mar 6, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on March 7?$11.00Mar 6, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$11.00Mar 4, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $384.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".