Adept-Oar
0xd5dcf9043989926bcae732a2428aebdc64b917d8
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$471.74
Total PnL
$-678.64
Realised
$-3.03
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
358 shares @ 83.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$266.62
$-33.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
123 shares @ 56.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$80.80
$10.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
105 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$59.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
179 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$42.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$11.20
$-38.80
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.08
$-5.92
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.97
$-7.03
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1096 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
857 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-211.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$44.633h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$61.294h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$0.006h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$0.006h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$0.006h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$0.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$201.8019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$3.151d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$31.081d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$232.561d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$100.612d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$51.772d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$71.512d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$80.923d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$25.123d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$31.273d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$201.403d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$0.006d ago
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$5.306d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$0.006d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $46.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".