Married-Candy-Infiltration
0xd5df8601242d9d7b263ba6e0a28ba00d4b08dc1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$-148.89
Win rate
0%
127 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
6736 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-67.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
2039 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
1086 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-273.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
1065 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-189.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
1007 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
873 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-199.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
727 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-393.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
700 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-399.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
638 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
562 shares @ 71.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-399.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.40Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.59Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.07Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.09Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.08Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.07Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.08Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.03Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.09Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.08Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.86Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.09Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.08Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.97Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.82Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.83Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.08Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.03Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.08Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.07Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 127 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
127 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 127 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.