Wallet digest

active

Activity score

60/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$10.00

Total PnL

$-4.2K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 32

NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 18?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$10.00
$0.07
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
490 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-245.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
480 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-240.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$170.00Dec 18, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$93.00Dec 18, 09:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$128.00Dec 18, 08:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$281.00Dec 18, 08:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$21.19Dec 18, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$100.00Dec 18, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.59Dec 18, 07:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.81Dec 18, 07:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3.88Dec 18, 07:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3.25Dec 18, 07:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.78Dec 18, 07:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$84.91Dec 18, 07:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$160.00Dec 18, 07:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.09Dec 18, 07:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$44.50Dec 18, 06:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$29.50Dec 18, 03:19 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 18?$9.93Dec 18, 03:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$180.00Dec 18, 01:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$90.00Dec 17, 15:51 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry97 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk79 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $49.55
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 1, 08:40 UTC
Last active: Dec 18, 11:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:04:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data