Unwilling-Superiority
0xd5eb2846e5f41e76fd1a607320ae1ec45af0b9d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$-3.3K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
30131 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.2K
$-335.96
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
66070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-143.83
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
37047 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-75.83
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
1045 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-616.37
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
721 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.48
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
571 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
441 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-361.71
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
370 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
186 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
170 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-33.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$45.59Jun 13, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$45.54Jun 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$65.72Jun 13, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$65.50Jun 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$148.82Jun 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$19.48Jun 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$99.05Jun 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$30.24Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$165.23Jun 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$165.21Jun 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$198.59Jun 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$142.51Jun 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$56.14Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$363.66Jun 13, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$363.72Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$100.40Jun 12, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$100.58Jun 12, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$34.75Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$34.83Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$36.50Jun 12, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $83.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.