Passionate-Number
0xd5ee9ad9097a0d4c88338610673d970af5f5175b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$-6.82
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 10?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 16?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 30?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 7?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on May 30?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 10?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?
200 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 1?$0.15Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 1?$0.26Jun 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 1?$0.07Jun 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 1?$0.11Jun 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 1?$0.10Jun 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 1?$0.33Jun 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on July 1?$0.09Jun 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 1?$0.02Jun 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 1?$0.09Jun 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 1?$0.03Jun 30, 18:03 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 1?$31.00Jun 30, 18:03 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on July 1?$31.00Jun 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on July 1?$0.08Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 1?$0.08Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 1?$0.08Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 1?$0.08Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 1?$0.08Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 1?$0.16Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 1?$0.23Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 1?$1.17Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.