Unwilling-Luxury
0xd5f6b6996de3f2f3eb1e2630df8051904439ad41
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-327.98
Realised
$21.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
5222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
3789 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-59.57
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2983 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.93
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2181 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-23.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1013 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-12.16
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
961 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-41.34
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
875 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
857 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.57
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
New Pope announced by May 31?
502 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$9.23Apr 11, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by April 30?$9.23Apr 11, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$14.90Apr 7, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$11.93Jan 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$12.16Nov 29, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 28?$0.33Oct 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 28?$6.54Oct 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$6.54Oct 28, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$6.59Oct 26, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$7.16Oct 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$6.59Oct 24, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$6.59Oct 24, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$16.18Oct 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$11.00Oct 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$41.34Jul 26, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$0.44Jul 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$16.00Jul 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$25.67Jul 7, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$13.25Jul 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$12.43Jul 7, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".