Murky-Penny
0xd5f86164e9d1e8514a94ce2834e9b3946ed37676
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 9?
946 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 14?
213 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or below on March 28?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or higher on March 11?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on March 10?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 15?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 14?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 21?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 14?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.16Apr 22, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.00Apr 22, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 11?$0.00Apr 19, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.09Apr 19, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?$1.00Apr 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 10?$0.01Apr 9, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 9?$1.85Apr 8, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 9?$0.03Apr 8, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 8?$0.03Apr 8, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?$1.93Apr 8, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?$1.00Apr 7, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 6?$1.00Apr 6, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?$1.00Apr 6, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".