Polite-Albatross
0xd5fe0c08fe01738b09196631ab656c4d1a95a012
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$22.02
Total PnL
$4.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.79
$12.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$1.82
$0.84
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.00Feb 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$1.00Jan 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition$1.00Jan 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 14, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 14, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$0.87Jan 14, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 14, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.00Jan 4, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jan 4, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.