Accomplished-Cicada
0xd601540a73f819a5937c5c9969a53980d4dc7b08
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$11.42
Total PnL
$-29.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 52.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.48
$6.48
- JAGUARS
Texans vs. Jaguars
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$3.94
$1.85
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
250 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?
168 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
110 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.17
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-18?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03Sep 23, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?$2.00Sep 22, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?$2.00Sep 22, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Sep 22, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Sep 22, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.00Sep 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?$5.00Sep 22, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (September 22-28)$2.17Sep 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Sep 20, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (September 22-28)$2.00Sep 20, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengals vs. Vikings$4.00Sep 20, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYChiefs vs. Giants$3.00Sep 20, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCardinals vs. 49ers$1.00Sep 20, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Jaguars$2.09Sep 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Sep 19, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Sep 19, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Sep 19, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?$1.00Sep 19, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-18?$1.00Sep 18, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?$1.00Sep 18, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 23, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".