Open-Kendo
0xd6072a50cc33ef0aba824767672a308de679d37d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.61
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.61
$2.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 15?
261 shares @ 76.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 27?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 3?
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 29?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21?
108 shares @ 92.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 8?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 29?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 12?
105 shares @ 95.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$1.75Jan 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 29?$100.00Jan 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?$100.00Jan 28, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $120 on January 29?$100.00Jan 28, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$4.26Jan 28, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 27?$31.52Jan 28, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 27?$31.99Jan 28, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 27?$114.94Jan 28, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?$119.05Jan 28, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 27?$29.00Jan 26, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 27?$22.39Jan 26, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 27?$100.00Jan 26, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?$100.00Jan 26, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$100.00Jan 26, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 24?$152.39Jan 26, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 24?$132.58Jan 23, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$75.00Jan 23, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 22?$44.69Jan 23, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 22?$50.53Jan 23, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $74.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.