Agreeable-Public
0xd60da59052d232d25d04cff86f1f0525635057bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$240.00
Total PnL
$71.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
240 shares @ 21.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$240.00
$187.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?
60 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
30 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.12Aug 24, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$6.56Aug 24, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$13.50Aug 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$43.40Aug 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$25.50Jul 28, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$1.00Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$3.50Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$108.11Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 28?$33.00Jul 27, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$80.00Jul 27, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 24?$35.00Jul 23, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other outcome occur in Alcaraz vs. Sinner?$0.00Jul 15, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win 3:2 against Carlos Alcaraz?$0.00Jul 15, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win 3:2 against Jannik Sinner?$0.00Jul 15, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other outcome occur in Alcaraz vs. Sinner?$1.80Jul 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win 3:2 against Jannik Sinner?$10.50Jul 12, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win 3:2 against Carlos Alcaraz?$10.00Jul 12, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above in June?$0.00Jul 7, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jul 7, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.90Jun 26, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $67.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 24, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.