Narrow-Cravat
0xd60f03fc4ee433dc9a69a1564806c90c033c3076
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.35
Total PnL
$-778.57
Realised
$2.10
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
198 shares @ 15.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.60
$-17.40
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-18.25
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
459965 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-459.96
- NO
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?
1920 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.68
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
1564 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1235 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.41
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 29?
767 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?
306 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
196 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.21Jan 31, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$0.24Jan 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3PM ET$3.89Jan 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$3.88Jan 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$7.41Jan 27, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$40.00Jan 24, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$199.97Jan 24, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$8.63Jan 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$141.38Jan 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 24, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$14.71Jan 24, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$14.27Jan 24, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?$3.33Jan 22, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$20.00Jan 21, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $14.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".