Arctic-Calorie
0xd6157430162e145aaaf5e17d26a4342c9efe43d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.60 on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 21?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will COMPA win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
546 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
98 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$3.32Feb 9, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$3.26Feb 9, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$0.00Feb 1, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?$1.00Jan 21, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?$5.00Jan 21, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be greater than $2.60 on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.00Jan 21, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$15.06Jan 21, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Pinto win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?$0.00Jan 19, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$0.00Jan 19, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?$0.00Jan 19, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Jan 19, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Machado handshake last 10–15 seconds?$0.00Jan 18, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 30-31°F on January 18?$0.00Jan 18, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on January 18?$0.00Jan 18, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on January 18?$8.15Jan 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?$8.15Jan 17, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.