Thirsty-Gesture
0xd6168007eae4110260c97c4221ce16d252d12097
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.41
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
94 shares @ 9.8¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.41
$-0.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
5399 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
5397 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3857 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2789 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2725 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2725 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2724 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2723 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1998 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-999.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.21Mar 30, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.03Mar 30, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$3.04Mar 30, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$3.04Mar 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$3.00Feb 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$3.00Feb 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.00Feb 6, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Feb 6, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.04Feb 6, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.06Feb 6, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$2.09Feb 6, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 17, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.01Dec 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 4, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Nov 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Nov 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$50.00Nov 11, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$48.00Nov 11, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $455.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".