Severe-Surfboard
0xd6174af2ba35f7907a059806bb0a7b689630404b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$84.54
Total PnL
$-294.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
58 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$57.87
$14.47
- NO
US recession in 2025?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$26.67
$6.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
264 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.13
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
160 shares @ 65.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-105.32
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
125 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.29
- YES
Will Trump visit Israel before August?
110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
94 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
60 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$39.00Nov 6, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran before August?$30.00Aug 3, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran in July?$50.30Aug 3, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$112.99Jul 31, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$30.00Jul 28, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$37.42Jul 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$8.40Jul 10, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$16.80Jul 10, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$27.94Jul 10, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$5.86Jul 10, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$5.60Jul 9, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$11.40Jul 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$0.05Jul 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$13.15Jul 9, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$1.70Jul 9, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$7.60Jul 8, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$7.60Jul 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$8.20Jul 8, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?$24.00Jul 8, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$14.36Jul 6, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 01:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".