Second-Hand-Shortwave
0xd619291c2519a861453dd3555fbbb0bc7b5faba7
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.56
Total PnL
$-7.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.18
$1.18
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 5?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?$1.00Jan 10, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?$1.00Jan 10, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 7, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$1.00Jan 5, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 5, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 5, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?$1.00Jan 5, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.00Jan 5, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 5?$4.00Jan 5, 19:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".